Tunisia burns. Egypt burns. Yemen is burning. In Syria, Jordan, Sudan and Algeria lick the flames. In the Arab-Muslim space is repeated now, what happened to the early nineties in the Eastern bloc and the communist dictatorships. What began with Glaznost and perestroika ended in the rebellion of the people against their oppressive regime they. Mass demonstrations, Mass exodus, street fighting and anarchy were the results and the communist governments - with some few exceptions, the incorrigible - fell like dominoes. The leaders fled - if they were not immediately lynched on the spot - into political exile, together with the peoples of their stolen property. 20 years later, the affected countries have mostly made the difficult transition to real democracy with free market economy and the global community has become clear that the communist model has failed. Now burn the Arab world. It differs from the communist Eastern Bloc of the nineties only by a religion with a huge role, which - spurred by their violent course book, the Koran - is partly responsible for the bloody riots and the crackdown of the regime against the demonstrators. Nevertheless, the Tunisian government has been overthrown, and the days of the Tunisian transitional government are numbered. Just like the days of the Egyptian government. Other states and their regimes will follow, starting with the dictatorships of Algeria, Yemen, Syria and Saudi Arabia to the powder keg. But even more moderate countries like Jordan, Turkey or the Arab Emirates are not immune.
fact that Egypt is, there is no doubt, it's only a matter of time. And when the powerful and influential Egypt falls, the other Arab states are in acute danger. And with them the oil that keeps the Western industrialized nations running. Overnight with the West is drawn, the same West that has some of the now burning States and its dictatorial regime for decades supported with billions and upgraded.
The Arab conflagration is very fast to global conflagration, for the struggle over oil has nothing to do with dictators or religion. The unjust U.S. war against Iraq, which was ultimately to secure the vast oil reserves of the country, officially, but against a previously targeted by the West heavily armed dictator has failed. Anarchy reigns in Iraq today, and the way of Iraq to a western democracy seems out of reach long. To believe that the Western world would an intervention in the Middle East be more successful this time is more than illusory.
a rethinking of the West is therefore essential. Not only is it clear that so-called allies like Egypt and Turkey are just as unreliable and unpredictable in doubt as the supposed "rogue states". It becomes clear that above all, that the Arab conflagration is for the fundamentalist Islamists great opportunity in the Arab world to take over a large area of the rule. By then Israel is becoming a global issue because it be the first and paramount goal of the fundamentalists, and because the Western world its true - long since obsolete - use doctrine must stand by Israel.
The Third World War is within reach. During the First World War, through the window fall of Sarajevo and the Second World War, triggered by a couple of German soldiers in Polish uniforms, the historians of World War III than that war will say that was by self-immolation of a Tunisian market driver triggered. Here, the history books to conceal likely that the war was ultimately triggered by the fact that the West intervened in a predetermined and inevitable process by Israel tried to obtain.
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